Tuesday, June 30, 2015



By Adrian Noche, AngelsWin.com Minor League Reporter - 

1.) Taylor Ward, Catcher, Orem Owlz

Taylor Ward was the Angels top draft pick in 2015, having been chosen 26th overall in what the vast majority has called a reach for the catcher. Ward is known for his defense, being given a plus-plus rating for his glove and arm by numerous scouting reports. His bat is what will make or break the Angels justification in their first round selection. In Ward’s final year with Fresno State, the catcher had 7 homeuns 14 doubles and 42 RBIs to go along with a batting average of .304. Ward also walked (35) more times than he struck out (34) in 59 games played. After a slow 0-8 start with Orem, Ward has been scorching hot. In his last 5 games, Ward is 13-for-21 (.619) with a double, triple and a home run. Ward has also walked 4 times with only 1 strikeout. Ward has also thrown out 5-of-13 base stealers and has stolen 2 bases himself. So far in the Owlz game against Ogden, Ward has reached base 4 times (3 walks and 1 hit).

2.) Kyle Survance Jr., Outfielder, Orem Owlz

Kyle Survance Jr. was taken by the Angels in the 8th round of the 2015 draft. In three seasons with The University of Houston, Survance stole 82 bases to go along with a .302/.389/.382 slash line in 176 collegiate games. Survance has been arguable the best hitter thus far among the entire 2015 draft class. Survance is currently batting .457 to go along with 5 doubles, 1 triple and 2 home runs (.739 SLG). Survance has a SO:BB ratio of 4:3 and 9 stolen bases in 12 attempts.

3.) David Fletcher, Shortstop, Orem Owlz

David Fletcher was drafted in the 6th round out of Loyola Marymount. Fletcher is seen as a glove first shortstop but managed to swing the bat well during his two years at Loyola. In 111 collegiate games, Fletcher hit for a slash line of .318/.374/.395 with 31 stolen bases in 38 attempts. In those 111 games, Fletcher struck out just 40 times and walked 36. Fletcher has been on fire since being drafted by the Angels. So far in Orem, Fletcher is .353 with 4 stolen bases. You can expect that average to climb as he is currently 4-for-6 with two doubles in Orem’z 20-2 romping over Ogden.

Minor League Affiliate Report

Triple-A Salt-Lake Bees

The Salt Lake Bees went 3-3 since our last prospect hotlist and own an overall record of 32-46 (13.5 GB). Drew Rucinski threw his 5th straight quality start on Friday, giving up 2 earned runs in 6.2 innings pitched with 8 hits, 2 walks and 7 strikeouts. Alex Yarbrough logged 3rd multi-hit game in games, going 2-for-4 with a double on Monday. Yarbrough is batting .366 in his last 8 games. Kaleb Cowart has refused to cool off since his call-up to Salt Lake. Despite Kubitza’s return to the Bees, Cowart remained on the roster and got the start at designated hitter on Monday. Cowart went 2-for-4 and 2 RBIs in the Bees 7-2 win for Albuquerque. Cowart is now has a slash line of .321/.409/.554 in 18 games with Salt Lake.

Double-A Arkansas Travelers

The Travelers went 4-3 in their last 7 games and have a 3-3 record for the second half of the season (1.0 GB). Nate Smith continued to dominate the opposition with 7.0 shutout innings thrown on Thursday. Smith only allowed 3 hits and 2 walks to go along with 5 strikeouts. Smith’s season ERA now sits at 2.74 with a WHIP of 1.11 in 88.2 innings pitched. Wade Hinkle has 3 home runs in his last 10 games and leads the team with 6 on the season. Outfielder, Mike Fish, was called up to the Travelers on Saturday and is 1-for-2 with a run scored in his first 2 games in Double-A.

High-A Inland Empire 66ers

The 66ers are currently 1-3 in the second half of the season and 2.0 GB first place. Victor Alcantara struck out 8 batters in a start where he gave up just 2-earned runs in 5.0 innings pitched (4 H  1 BB). Alcantara now has 72 SO’s in 69.1 innings pitched this season (32 BB). Sean Newcomb pitched 5.0 innings on Sunday, striking out 6 batters while giving up just 1 earned runs, 5 hits and 2 walks. Newcomb has now eclipsed the 100 strikeout mark for the season with 101 in 77.1 innings pitched. Outfielder, Caleb Adams was called up to Inland Empire on Saturday. Adams is 2-for-6 with a triple in 2 games so far in High-A. Second baseman, Andrew Daniel, was called up to the 66ers on Monday.

Low-A Burlington Bees

The Bees of Burlington are currently 3-2 in the second half of their season and sit 1.0 GB first place. Austin Robichauz has been rolling as of late. In his start on Friday, the starter went 6.0 complete without giving up an earned run with 4 hits, 1 walk and 4 strikeouts. Austin’s season ERA is now at 3.31 and has a record of 7-2 in 73.1 innings pitched this season. Jeremy Rhoades lowered his ERA to 2.80 on the season after tossing 6.0 shutout innings on Monday (4 H  1 BB  3 SO). For the second consecutive time, Jake Jewell pitched 5.0 shutout innings, only allowing 1 hit and 2 walks with 3 strikeouts. Jewell currently has 61 strikeouts and just 13 walks in 51.0 innings pitched.

Class-A Short Season Orem Owlz

The Orem Owlz are currently tied for first place with a record of 8-4 this season. The Angels’ 2nd round pick in 2014, Joe Gatto, pitched 5.0 solid innings on Sunday. Gatto only allowed 1 earned run, 2 hits and 1 walk with 2 strikeout against Ogden. The Angels 3rd round pick in the 2015 draft, Grayson Long, has yet to allow a hit in 3 innings pitched so far this season (1 BB 2 SO). 3rd baseman, Michael Pierson (Round 21 2015), is hitting .381 with 3 doubles and a home run in 10 games with the Owlz this season. Outfielder, Ranyelmy Mendoza, has 4 home runs in 10 games for the Owlz.

AZL Angels

The AZL Angels are currently in first place with a record of 5-3. Top prep high-schooler Dalton Blumenfeld (Round 12 2015) made his professional debut on Monday. The catcher went 1-for-4 with a triple and RBI. Crusito Mieses pitched well on Monday, with 5.0 scoreless innings while only giving up 3 hits, 2 walks with 2 strikeouts. 2nd rounder, Jahmai Jones, has cooled off after a 4-for-8 start to the season. The outfielder is now just 1 for his last 20 at-bats.

Saturday, June 27, 2015


By Robert Cunningham, AngelsWin.com Staff Writer - 

Author’s Note: Two weeks after this was written, Alden Gonzalez reported that the Angels are “dangling” C.J. Wilson in trade talks. This lends credence to the idea that the Angels believe Andrew Heaney is ready to handle a rotation spot and provide similar production to Wilson.

If Jerry Dipoto decides to go for a young power bat, he may be put in the position of having to take a current 25-man roster asset and use that to acquire one or more pieces that can then be used in trade for said hitter(s).

One such piece is C.J. Wilson.

C.J. has approximately $11MM remaining on his contract this year and $20MM in 2016. There is a high probability that the Angels will want to trade Wilson before next season (his walk year) anyway so it makes some sense to shop him.

If you believe in WAR’s general predictive value, of a player’s worth, and expect Wilson to be worth about 3 WAR over the remainder of his contract, that would put his total value at approximately $22MM-28MM.

Even if you don’t believe in WAR you can simply look at a player like Jake Peavy who is the same age as C.J. and notice that he received 2/$24MM last offseason in the free agent market.

Because Wilson is a lefty (slightly higher demand) his net value, over the remainder of his contract, would appear to be about negative $5MM ($26MM - $31MM).

It would appear that the Angels, in order to pick up a good prospect or two, might need to absorb some of C.J.’s salary (preferably from this year only) to facilitate a trade.

Wilson has been strong against left-handed hitters this year with a solid 18.2% K-BB% and a 0.87 WHIP. Against right-handed hitters he has not fared nearly as well with a 10.6% K-BB% and a 1.27 WHIP.

However the Nationals are one of several teams that have not fared well against LHH’s in 2015. So far this year the Nationals pitching staff has fared poorly with a K-BB% of 9.4% which ranks 21st in the Majors.

In fact only one of their starters, Gio Gonzalez, is a LHP and he hasn’t performed well at all this year against LHH’s.

This idea may be a non-starter simply because the Nationals currently have Stephen Strasburg and Doug Fister on the DL. However both have been struggling and it is a real possibility that they trade or DFA Fister who has been abysmal versus LHP this year.

Acquiring Wilson would allow the Nationals to front a full, brand label rotation and would improve their overall numbers versus lefty hitters. It could literally put them head and shoulders above every other rotation in baseball.

Additionally the Nationals are flirting with the Luxury Tax Threshold in 2015 so if the Angels ate some, or all, of the remainder of C.J.’s salary this year ($11MM) they would be able to pull a good prospect in trade.

Please keep in mind that trade deadline prices are much higher than offseason prices for players. Hypothetically Wilson as a trade deadline move only, probably has somewhere between $5MM-$10MM in surplus value to a team in need.

So who would the Angels want from the Nationals?

If the Angels do use C.J. as part of a larger trade to net a young bat like Kyle Schwarber or Khris Davis, for instance, they would very likely want a good, young pitcher.

Fortunately the Nationals have a deep system of pitching, particularly RHP.

Any of the following might be available in the right deal/package: Reynaldo Lopez, A.J. Cole, Joe Ross, Austin Voth, Aaron Barrett, Jefry Rodriguez, Felipe Rivero, Nicholas Piveta, Sammy Solis, Jake Johansen, John Simms, and Taylor Jordan.

Out of that group a Wilson trade might, if packaged properly, net Reynaldo Lopez but it will likely take more than C.J.

Beyond that Joe Ross, Austin Voth, Aaron Barrett, Felipe Rivero (LHP), Sammy Solis, and John Simms seem like the most likely candidates for a Wilson trade.

If I had to place some money down I’d think that C.J. could net Joe Ross or Austin Voth with Sammy Solis as an added player, assuming the Angels eat some of Wilson’s 2015 salary.

Notably trading C.J. would almost certainly clear out close to $20MM (depending on the trade negotiations) for 2016 and might clear out a bit of cash this year in 2015.

Payroll, for this year, would likely stay relatively neutral or might decrease based on cash considerations involved with a Wilson trade.


Sunday, June 21, 2015



By Adrian Noche, AngelsWin.com Minor League Reporter - 


1.) Chris Ellis, Starting Pitcher, Arkansas Travelers
Last two starts: 1-0  12.0 IP  0.75 ERA  10 H  3 BB  7  SO  1.08 WHIP
Overall: 5-5  74.2 IP  3.38 ERA  63 H  23 BB  77 SO  1.15 WHIP  .224 BAA

Chris Ellis was drafted in the 3rd round of the 2014 First Year Player Draft out of Mississippi. Ellis, who was converted to starting pitching his final year at Mississippi, saw his draft stock skyrocket after posting a strong 2014 campaign where he had a 10-3 record with an ERA of 2.55. Ellis struggled in his first taste of professional baseball with Orem but has been dominant his second time around. Ellis started out with Inland Empire and posted an ERA of 3.88, WHIP of 1.16 and 70 strikeouts in 62.2 IP (20 BB). This led to Ellis’ promotion to Arkansas and in his first two starts, Ellis has only allowed a single run in 12.0 innings pitched. Ellis is yet another member of the 2014 draft class that has been incredibly successful thus far.

2.) Nate Smith, Starting Pitcher, Arkansas Travelers
Last two starts: 1-0  13.2 IP  2.04 ERA  8 H  1 BB  5 SO  0.65 WHIP
Overall: 6-4  81.2 IP  2.98 ERA  70 H  23 BB  66 SO  1.14 WHIP  .228 BAA

Nate Smith posted his 5th straight start in which he pitched at least 5 innings and gave up no more than 3 earned runs on Saturday. Smith went 7.0 complete innings while only allowing 1 earned run, 3 hits and 1 walk while striking out 4. In this stretch of games, Smith has pitched 30.2 innings with an ERA of 1.76 and WHIP of 0.65. On the season, Smith’s ERA is down to 2.98 and a SO9 of 7.3 and BB9 of 2.5.

3.) Kaleb Cowart, 3rd Baseman, Salt Lake Bees
Past 10 games: .303 AVG  10 H  3 Doubles  2 Triples  1 HR  0 SB
Overall: .251/.335/.419

After Kaleb Cowart’s struggles in High-A, the Angels responded by promoting him all the way up to Triple-AAA. Cowart took the promotion and ran with it. So far with the Bees, Cowart is hitting a slash line of .303/.385/.606 in 33 at-bats with 3 doubles, 2 triples, and 1 home run. Cowart also has 5 walks in his last 4 games. Cowart always had all the tools and potential to be the all-star third baseman the Angels thought he would be. Let’s cross our fingers and hope he keeps it up.


Minor League Affiliate Report 

Triple-A Salt-Lake Bees

The Bees broke their 7 game losing streak with a win on Sunday and ended the week with a record of 1-6. The Bees have an overall record 28-43 and are 11.5 GB first place. Drew Rucinski posted a quality start on Saturday, pitching 5.0 innings while giving up 2 earned runs, 3 hits and 3 walks with 1 strikeout. Cory Rasmus gave up 2 hits, 2 earned runs and struck out 2 in his rehab appearance (0.2 IP). CJ Cron homered twice this week, and has a slash line of .323/.364/.613 in 62 at-bats with Salt Lake.

Double-A Arkansas Travelers

The Travelers went 4-2 and played 3 doubleheaders this week. Their record sits at 35-33 this season. Michael Brady started his 3rd consecutive game, giving up 5 hits, 1 earned run and no walks in 6.2 innings pitched with 4 strikeouts. Chris O’Grady continued to be dominant in the bullpen and has a season ERA of 1.61 in 28.0 innings pitched. Greg Mahle earned his second save of the season on Saturday. After a rough start after his promotion to Arkansas, Austin Adams has managed to lower his ERA to 3.18 and has struck out 19 batters in 11.1 innings pitched (8 BB).

High-A Inland Empire 66ers

The 66ers went 3-4 this week and have an overall record of 34-35. Ryan Etsell pitched a dominant game on the 13th, tossing 7.0 shutout innings while giving up 2 hits and no walks with 12 strikeouts. Sean Newcomb earned the victory on Sunday, pitching 5.0 shutout innings while giving up 3 hits and 2 walks with 8 strikeouts. Newcomb has 95 strikeouts in 72.1 innings pitched this season across Low-A and High-A. Roberto Baldoquin hit his first home run of the season on Wednesday.

Low-A Burlington Bees

The Burlington Bees went 2-4 this week and have an overall record of 35-34. Austin Robichaux pitched 6.2 shutout innings on Saturday, striking out 8 while allowing just 4 hits and no walks. Robichaux is unbeaten in his last 8 starts and has now won his last five decisions. His last loss came on May 5 against Beloit. The 22-year-old is tied for third in the Midwest League with six wins.. Jeremy Rhoades pitched just 2.0 innings on Sunday, allowing no runs and 3 hits while striking out 1. Jake Jewell pitched 5 shutout innings on Thursday, striking out 7 while only allowing 2 hits and no walks. Eduardo Paredes’ season ERA sits at 1.93 after a 1.1 inning scoreless outing on Saturday. Paredes has 40 strikeouts in 28.0 innings.

Class-A Short Season Orem Owlz

The Owlz started the season strong after taking 3 of 4 games in a 4-game series against Ogden. 2nd round draft pick, Joe Gatto, pitched the season opener for Orem and gave up 3 earned runs in 4.0 innings pitched (5 H  2 BB  5 SO). Eduar Lopez was strong in his start on Friday, striking out 6 in 5.1 innings pitched while allowing 1 earned run, 2 hits and 2 walks. 1st baseman, Steven Mateo, has a hit in each of the Owlz’s first four games and is batting .438 on the young season. Hutton Moyer, the Angels 7th round draft pick, is 3-for-9 in 3 games with 2 doubles, 2 RBI’s, 2 walks and 2 strikeouts.

Wednesday, June 17, 2015


By Robert Cunningham, AngelsWin.com Staff Writer - 

The Pirates currently have an excellent outfield alignment of McCutchen, Polanco, and Marte giving them one of the best groups in all of baseball.

Rewind a few years back and there is one name missing from that trio: Jose Tabata.

At the tender age of 21, the Pirates committed to a long term contract (6 guaranteed years plus 3 option years) with Tabata for a very team-friendly $15MM (Option years total an additional $22.5MM).

Through 2013 the contract appeared to be fair for both sides, although Jose didn’t exactly light the world on fire as the Pirates had hoped.

Then in 2014 Jose struggled in April through mid-June and was sent down for the remainder of the summer. When he was recalled again he had a very pedestrian line the rest of the way, splitting time with the other outfielders.

However in 2015, Tabata, across 28 games to start the season in AAA, held a .352/.422/.396 slash line, receiving a call-up to the Majors just over two weeks ago where he started out well but has fallen off fast with a .278/.316/.278 line in limited action.

This is the type of player where extensive scouting and evaluation would truly matter for the Angels if they were to consider a trade. Of course all players are scouted and evaluated but Jose’s bat lacks punch and his contact ability is what would make a real difference to the Angels.

Out of all of the options Tabata carries the most risk performance-wise but he still has a touch of upside. As a leadoff hitter who can crack singles and doubles around the field, potentially high on-base skills, a touch of speed, and adequate defense in left field he is a high-risk, buy-low candidate.

Another selling point is his contract. The Pirates are on the hook for his $4MM salary in 2015 and his $4.5MM salary in 2016 because they took him off the 40-man roster.

After 2016, Tabata carries 3 option years for $6.5MM, $7.5MM, and $8.5MM respectively. All three option years have a mere $250K buy out attached.

This means that the financial investment is very small in return for the potential production that he might give. Although he certainly isn’t the sexiest option on the table, he is in his age 26 season where a lot of players “break-out” and start living up to their potential.

If the Angels were willing to take on some or all of Jose’s 2015 and 2016 salaries it probably wouldn’t cost the team a lot in prospects. Perhaps 1-2 prospects, probably pitchers, such as Adam Wilk, or perhaps an infield prospect like Alex Yarbrough.

Monday, June 15, 2015


By Robert Cunningham, AngelsWin.com Staff Writer - 

One of the biggest concerns for the Angels so far this season has been the team’s poor offensive performance against right-handed pitching, where they are hitting a collective .680 OPS.

Part of that issue stems from the fact that the team is running a .274 BABIP versus RHP which should normalize and regress to the mean as the season progresses, in turn improving the OPS number.

However BABIP issues are not the entirety of the problem. To further help improve team hitting versus RHP the Angels should consider trading for one or more hitters that excel against righties.

One player that they should seriously consider trading for is Cubs AA prospect left-handed hitter Kyle Schwarber.

If you don’t know who Kyle Schwarber is he has been one of the top hitters in the Minors since the Cubs picked him in the 1st round (4th overall) in 2014.

Over 525 plate appearances to date, Schwarber has slashed .336/.435/.615 matched with a .279 ISO and 30 home runs. Kyle is widely considered one of the top 5 offensive players in the Minor Leagues.

So the question you might be asking at this point is why would the Cubs consider giving up such a potentially talented hitter?

The answer is maybe they will and maybe they won’t, it’s not entirely clear or as simple as it seems.

One important complicating factor is what position Schwarber would play in the Majors.

Kyle has played catcher and left field in the past and the Cubs are currently experimenting with him in a backstop role.

The problem with playing catcher is three-fold: 1) Backstop’s go through a lot of wear and tear on their legs which eventually impacts their hitting in a negative manner, 2) Learning catcher skills takes time, and 3) Playing catcher is not an everyday activity which would make inserting his bat in the lineup more difficult on a daily basis.

Schwarber could go back to playing left field but reports are that his defense is at best average and more likely he would be a below average, fringe defense type of player in the outfield.

The positional question combined with the fact that the Cubs play in the National League with no designated hitter compounds the difficulty of finding a regular everyday spot for Kyle in the Cubs lineup.

Also, when you examine Chicago’s organizational depth at this point in time, it appears that their starting pitching depth isn’t as strong as they would like it to be. Every team in baseball understands the need for deep depth in the rotation and you have to believe that this is a concern for the Cub’s front office.

One other recent, interesting development is that the Cubs have started playing Javier Baez at 3B.

Baez at 3B would likely be a defensive upgrade over Bryant. Kris could move to LF to keep his powerful bat in the lineup and likely provide average to above average defense in the corner.

The Baez move might simply be to showcase his positional versatility in a possible trade of him, as well, but it would seem more logical for the Cubs to move Bryant to LF and retain Baez who has also been smashing the ball in AAA this year.

Based on Chicago’s other areas of need and their difficulty in finding Schwarber a positional home it is possible the Cubs are listening to offers that would bring back one or more starting pitchers in return, particularly from American League teams who can carry a DH.

Notably this would also move Kyle out of the National League where he could more likely come back to hurt the team that drafted him.

It seems the stars may have aligned for these two teams as the Angels have pitching that the Cubs might be interested in and the Angels need a left-handed middle of the order bat like Schwarber.

The Angels are in a better position to place Kyle on their roster and in their lineup utilizing the DH position, primarily, while allowing Schwarber to continue developing his skills at catcher, left field, or possibly first base.

His bat should provide immediate help for the Angels against RHP as Kyle has a Minor League slash line of .353/.450/.647, over 388 plate appearances, against them. Schwarber, versus LHP, carries a .291/.394/.530 line across 137 PA’s.

To be clear jumping to the Majors would be a challenge for Kyle and a risk for the Angels. However the potential opportunity to get a bat like Schwarber’s might be too good for the Angels to pass up.

So what would the Cubs ask for in return?

If they want quantity over quality, then we’d likely have to send two starting LHP’s like Tyler Deloach and Nate Smith as well as RHP Cam Bedrosian and a lower-level OF prospect like Nataneal Delgado.

However if they demand more quality, then you’d likely see one of Nick Tropeano, Chris Ellis, or Sean Newcomb, along with one of Tyler Deloach or Nate Smith, and Cam Bedrosian.

It is also possible that the Cubs may not like one or more of the pieces we have to offer.

There is an alternate solution to that problem as well and that would be to trade someone like C.J. Wilson or Hector Santiago to acquire one or more prospects that the Cubs do want.

Wilson is the most likely candidate as Jerry is probably willing to eat some or all of C.J.’s 2015 salary to potentially net the Angels a decent prospect or two. If other Angel’s farm system prospects are included in a larger package it could potentially bring more.

Andrew Heaney is ready to take over Wilson’s rotation spot. His Steamer Rest of Season projections are very similar to C.J.’s to date and Heaney has some upside beyond that in the long term.

Moving most if not all of Wilson’s salary in trade is probably one of Jerry Dipoto’s top goals either now or in the offseason anyway so if C.J. is traded to help us get the bat or bats we need the Angels will be able to replace Wilson with Heaney.

The Cubs are currently projected to claim the 2nd Wild Card spot based on end of season projections. If that holds, as they approach the trade deadline, it seems increasingly likely Chicago will try to bolster their 5-man rotation, bullpen and pitching depth and Schwarber is a prime trade chip for them to do so.

Acquiring Kyle Schwarber would increase payroll, at best, by $500K.

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