Saturday, December 24, 2016



Prospect: Chris O'Grady Rank: 24

2015/16: UR                      Position(s): Left Handed Pitcher

Level: AA                        Age: Entering Age 27 season in 2017.

Height: 6’4”                       Weight: 225 lb.

Present - Future
Fastball         50 50
Slider 45 55
Change 50 55
Mechanics 50 50
Command    55 60
Control         45 55
Overall         45 55

Floor: Lefty Specialist. Ceiling: A setup man, or potentially a back-rotation starter. 

Likely Outcome: A 7th inning setup man. 

Summary: O'Grady's had a pretty interesting ride in professional baseball so far.  As a mid-round draft pick out of George Mason, there weren't a ton of expectations on O'Grady to perform.  He's a tall lefty with a pulse, and those tend to get drafted.  But it's O'Grady's growth as a pitcher that's truly led to a surprising run toward a major league roster.  O'Grady sits 89-90 with both sink and cut on his fastball (referred to as his cutter - definitely his best pitch), and can generate more weak contact than swing and misses with it.  In fact, it's the re-development of his cutter which has led to so much success.  He used it in college, but moved away from the cutter early in his career because he couldn't get a feel for it with MLB's standard baseball.  However, upon being shown a new grip, O'Grady re-integrated the cut fastball to his arsenal and took off.  Chris also throws a "show me" slider to keep hitters off balance and a surprisingly effective change up that can generate its fair share of swings and misses.

O'Grady is what I refer to as an "average" pitcher in that his velocity or breaking ball aren't the sort that stand out.  But O'Grady gets outs by spotting his pitches and staying ahead of hitters, which makes him considerably better than your average pitcher.  He still lives low in the zone. which is good in that O'Grady can make hitters hit his pitches, but it also tends to lead to control issues due to less room for error.  

If all this were taken into consideration, O'Grady would probably still be a Top 30 prospect, but more specifically, it's what he did in 2016 that has him placed on this list.  O'Grady was picked up in the Rule 5 Draft by the Reds.  It may not have gone as well as he or they had hoped in Spring Training, but it does make it clear that other major league teams feel O'Grady is big league caliber.  But the most surprising development was the Angels use of O'Grady in the rotation.  

It makes sense because O'Grady has the arsenal of a starting pitcher, but in this specific case, once O'Grady moved to the starting rotation in AA, he posted a 1.68 ERA across 50+ innings.  Though this was a small taste (roughly one third of a season), it was still enough to show fans and scouts that O'Grady can successfully operate in multiple roles, which makes him more valuable, and more likely to have a career in major league baseball.  He can be used as a situational lefty, a set up man, a closer, or a starter.  

What to expect next season: If he remains a starter, Chris will likely be back in AA this year, though not because his performance bears repeating the same level.  This is more of a result of Billy Eppler building a great deal of starting pitching depth in the majors and AAA this offseason.  If the Angels intend to deploy him as a reliever, or in a variety of roles, he should be in AAA Salt Lake.  The pitching environment won't be so favorable, but if O'Grady keeps the ball in the yard and spots his pitches as well as he can, he could find himself in Anaheim this season.  For what it's worth, when asked, O'Grady hadn't been informed by the team if they intend to keep him as a starter or even if he'll be invited to big league camp.  

Estimated Time of Arrival: Beginning of 2018, O'Grady's age 28 season. 

Grade as a prospect: C+ 

Grades are given from the 20-80 scouting scale.  20-being non-existent ability, 80-being the best I’ve ever seen.  MLB average is 50.
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